I read an article with some interesting statistics concerning All ins in tournament play.
For those of you who are consumed with the odds of bad beats... read on and it might shed a different light on your outlook of these all in situations.
This blog could help all players put a different perspective on your tournament life. I think its something we already know, albeit in the back of our minds, but having it explained this way, makes it more profound and easier to understand.
Here it is:
When your a 70% favorite and are all in, most view this as an independent event and assume they will prevail. Statistically speaking, if involved in two such confrontations in a tournament, you will be out of the tourney slightly more then half the time. Face this type of confrontation three times in a tournament, you will be elimanated two thirds of the time. Yet having said this, most consider losing one of these a BAD BEAT.
These are eye opening statistics. Think of the times when you push all in and have a 3 to 1 like AK vs A9, IF you do this just twice in a tournament, you will be out half the time. It only makes sense, the more times we put ourselves in these all in situations...the higher the chance we will be elimanated from the tournament...even though we maybe a favorite in each case.
Some players may view this and think that if they have a hand they are willing to go with, and they are a 70% favorite, then they are more then happy to push. But if your not short stacked, it might be better to play hands with POT CONTROL in mind. When you push all in, you have no control if the board comes with 4 to a suit and your opponent has that suit. If you played the hand small, you could easily get off the hand now that the board is so scary. Even though you have lost the hand in this case, you are alive in the tournament. That is just one example and there are many more but I think the point is made.
If you are of the opinion that you face to many bad beats when playing your tournaments, count how many times you have gone all in. This is something Im going to pay more attention to from now on myself.
If your cognisant of POT CONTROL, your all ins should be limited, and your ITM% should increase. If you really keep track of this stat, and dont count the times you are short stacked (you have less options) and are finding that you are going all in less and less...then perhaps you will find some interesting beneficial results...
A friend of mine just sent me this IQ test and I thought it was the most fun poker test Ive ever taken....I scored a 129 out of 150...
....at the end of the test it will ask you if you want to pay for further details, just click at the bottom "No thanks, just show me my score"
Hope you enjoy it!